2021.09.25 05:16 Spooky_Noodle_ Please tell me what's so bad about grandpa Joe
2021.09.25 05:16 Ridiculousendings My daily road route.
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2021.09.25 05:16 j1mb0bZzZ "At cracker barrel
2021.09.25 05:16 kingki20 Tomato acting like this is the only proof we have of Allah swt existing first the Quran unlike the Spider-Man books is clear and is clear in proof with miracles like the Roman war the Quran is clear in proof something other books don’t have the Quran tells you I’m every verse it’s the true book /\^
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2021.09.25 05:16 jameshoward_official Had this experience today
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2021.09.25 05:16 ronen1001 Idiot watching bull on iPad forgets it’s right in front of him
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2021.09.25 05:16 shadow_spinner0 [Shackil] Gleyber Torres says he studied a lot of video of himself during the 2018/2019 seasons when he was on the IL & focused on what allowed him to succeed in those years. He said it’s hard to answer the question of whether his recent success is linked to him moving back to 2nd base.
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2021.09.25 05:15 owenpoconnell Fly spotting!
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2021.09.25 05:15 joshmuhfuggah Looking for a reference to determine sill plate deformation in multi story wood buildings
This is a relatively new phenomenon due to structures going more and more stories in wood.
Contractor tells me that a sill plate on concrete will locally "crush" between 3/16" - 1/4" per floor, assuming the studs are all aligned and because the cross grain compressive strength is significantly lower than strength parallel to the grain.
I'm not talking about failure mode for perpendicular compression of the sill plate. It all works strength-wise. Its more of a "plastic deformation" in the wood as a result of the concentrated floor loads on the lowest level stud
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2021.09.25 05:15 BowBeforeBroccoli People’s Republic of Egypt Sultanate.
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2021.09.25 05:15 blueest Cost beentit simulations
I am interested in looking at something like this:
Suppose there is an insurance company. The inaurance company processes insurance claims. Let's say there are 100 people working at the insurance company: everyday, new claims arrive and existing claims are settled - but there is always a backlog.
In terms of strategies, the insurance company is considering hiring new employees: they are thinking of 5 new employees (strategy 1: costs $ 200,000), 10 new employees (strategy 2 : costs $ 500,000) or 15 new employees (strategy 3: costs $ 700,000).
The logic being, perhaps more employees could result in: fewer backlog through out the year, faster processing time of claims or smaller payouts to the claim filers (e.g. lets assume that each claim has to be processed in under 30 days, if a claim is approaching 30 days - the insurance company tries to negotiate and pay 50% of the amount owed instead of the whole amount).
In terms of the "transitions", different options can be considered:
A) The amount of backlog in the system (e.g. state A = less than 100 claims, state B = 101 to 200 claims, state C = more than 300 claims). Using existing data, transition matrix can be made to construct this transition matrix (3 × 3).
B) The average number of days spent on a claim (e.g. state A = less than 10 days , state B = 11 days to 25 days, state C = more than 25 claims). Using existing data, transition matrix can be made to construct this transition matrix (3 × 3)
C) The average percentage of the full amount saved on a case (e.g. state A = insurance company pays on average pays less than 50% of cases on average , state B = pays between 51% and 75% , state C = pays more than 75%). Using existing data, transition matrix can be made to construct this transition matrix (3 × 3).
My question is: I understand how to run a simulation that shows on any given day, which state the transition matrix (i.e. markov chain) will be in.
Question 1: But how can you calculate the cost and benefit (utility) of being in state A, state B and State C? I thought of adding integer scores to each state (e.g. state A = +3, state B = +2, state C = +1). Assuming that its always more advantageous to be in state, you run the simulation for 100 days and add the score on each day. A score 201 could mean that the system was on the whole "healthier" than the system with a score of 167. Is there another way of doing this?
Question 2: I know the cost of each strategy. But how do you attribute a benefit to each strategy? The best I can think about is trying to look at the historical data available and try to look at the system statistics when more people were hired vs less people.
Can someone please provide some advice on this? In general, am I understand the use of cost-benefit simulation correctly? Could this simulation serve as a legitimate method to decide which strategy to select?
submitted by blueest to actuarial [link] [comments]
2021.09.25 05:15 The_Stinky_Pete Where does Alfia Best Aunty come from?
This is going to be unpopular, besides her well put together character design why is Alfia considered Best Aunty?
Unless I missed something? She spent no real time with Bell. Her time, if any, was spent with Meteria not Bell. Meteria followed Zeus out of Orario into mountain village where Bell was raised, and Meteria probably died. Zeus took over raising Bell and based on his flashbacks Bell has no memory of Alfia. It’s stated she was concerned Bell would call her an old hag, so she didn’t spent time with him.
Have I missed something?
Alfia was non-existent in Bell’s life surely to qualify as Best Aunty you need to be present at some point? I find reconning her character in cheapens what Zeus and later Hestia did in raising Bell. He is who he is because of them.
So where does the Best Aunty thing come from?
Does it stem from the side story of Zard and Alfia raising Bell? There is also a side story of Bell marrying his harem including Mord. It doesn’t make Mord Best Girl, that’s Asterius. 😂
Or is it from Astraea Record? I understand she offered herself as a final test in Astraea Record, so Bell didn't have to take up the sword, as other heroes existed. But surely this doesn’t qualify as there wasn't anything noble when her actions lead to a countless civilian, adventurers’ deaths, and multiple god’s returns.
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2021.09.25 05:15 cryptobully49 $DREAMING-BIG$
2021.09.25 05:15 purrrpurrrpy Managing day AND overnight shifts? Doable?
So I've been working at general practices for just over 2 years and was thinking of working at emerg to expand my learning. I'm tempted to do the overnight shifts for the extra $2-3 pay. Is it difficult to do both? And for those who do it, how do y'all manage it, any tips? I'm thinking of working regular Friday Saturday (8am-7pm), and Sunday Monday OR Monday Tuesday overnights.
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2021.09.25 05:15 CrazyStupidRebel Is this HPV on the gums?
2021.09.25 05:15 Fuckfraser Is Charged Push Force supposed to do anything?
I have my grapple maxed out but it struggles to move anything over 10,000 kg and the push force does literally nothing. Wondering if thats intentional or a bug, Because it seems like a pretty useless upgrade.
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2021.09.25 05:15 ChunkySloth1367 This game and community are trash.
That's all. It's a bunch of smooth brains taking half an hour to read every card for the 15th time and pass their turn. Takes so long to cycle through turns it feels like playing MTG on the short bus. Then add in the people who milk the timers because they are mad and good God. Takes hours to play 15 games. Then you add in the aweful match maker that feeds my aggro deck control decks, who you guessed it, read every card and take half an hour to hit turn three. Don't forget about hand smoothing and other trash algorithms in the game.
I hit mythic in 2 weeks with a free deck with a few wild cards tossed in. I tried to make it work after buying and winning a few boosters, but yuck. This game is so boring and unrewarding. I can't believe the pretty pictures and animations really captivate so many MTG players.
This game did one really great thing though. Reminded me how good paper play is and made me hit the local card shop again. Modern Mondays, midweek drafts, and fnm standard. No one mailing timers, no shitty algorithms, just the actual game of magic being played by decent humans.
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2021.09.25 05:15 Grouchy-Management-8 Accommodations help please
Im currently at work. I’m using upt rn. I have health and mental health issues. I got this job so I could see the doctors I need to, but I’m already struggling without accommodations and I fear I’ll be fired before I get them. Is there anything I can do to missy he rest of my shifts this week and come back after I’ve used insurance to see the doctor to get my accommodations? I’m really freaking out and struggling right now.
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2021.09.25 05:15 richardengland78 Need a max boost... can someone please help a brother out by vouching for me? Here's my link if you're feeling humanitarian: https://earnin.app.link/HHmND8grPjb
2021.09.25 05:15 TronaldDump247 I mean maybe
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2021.09.25 05:15 Annual-Load-8355 Fake city used by the US Military to train troops
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2021.09.25 05:15 GuyOfEvil Might Guy
2021.09.25 05:15 Raven1104 CompTIA Email Confirmation
Hello good folks,
What would be the maximum time to receive your email containing the voucher number after placing a successful order?
In the worst case scenario,what would be the best way to contact CompTIA regarding the payment issue and clarification
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2021.09.25 05:15 blntrctn How do I fix a loose bumper?
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2021.09.25 05:15 MSZzz21 IMDb on firee...
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